Monday, January 18, 2021


Detroit Free Press

Printed 10:00 a.m. ET Feb. 22, 2020


Final week, the S&P 500 as soon as once more made new all-time highs solely to tug again to shut out the week within the purple amid fears the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak might sluggish international financial development.

Coronavirus considerations

U.S. markets dropped sharply on Thursday following a report by China’s International Occasions that one Beijing hospital witnessed a “sharp enhance” in novel coronavirus instances. As of Thursday, China had reported 74,576 coronavirus instances and a couple of,118 deaths, and the U.S. had confirmed 15 instances of its personal.

Apple shares gave up floor after the corporate reduce its March quarter gross sales steering due to the coronavirus outbreak. Apple generates about 15% of its complete income in China, and most of its iPhones and different gadgets are manufactured there.

On this Oct. 27, 2009 file photograph, an E*Commerce Monetary department is proven in San Francisco. (Picture: Jeff Chiu, ASSOCIATED PRESS)

Funding financial institution Morgan Stanley introduced a $13 billion all-stock takeover of E*Commerce, sending the net dealer’s shares up 25%. The deal marks the most important acquisition by a U.S. financial institution because the monetary disaster in 2008.

Rate of interest reduce coming?

Coronavirus fears have the bond market pricing in a a lot larger probability of a Federal Reserve rate of interest reduce someday in 2020. In accordance with CME Group, the bond market is now pricing in an 87.5% probability of no less than one fee reduce this 12 months, up from only a 53.9% probability one month in the past.

Earnings expectations are going to need to be dialed down within the wake of the contagion, based on TD Ameritrade Supervisor of Dealer Technique Shawn Cruz.

“I don’t suppose we actually perceive how deep the impact of the coronavirus is gonna be simply but,” Cruz mentioned. “We’ve already dialed down earnings development for the quarter, 6% was the anticipated development and now it’s lowered to three%, I don’t suppose the market is accurately pricing within the impact but. Should you’re an investor, it’s actually onerous to place a quantity on it, as a result of corporations aren’t even certain the way it’s going to have an effect on their financials.”

Cruz mentioned he thinks the affect of the virus might weigh on enterprise development for the following two to 3 quarters.

Extra: Coronavirus in China slows FCA production in Europe; plant to restart this month

More: Scale of coronavirus too big for GM to escape unscathed, experts warn

Earnings of note: Domino’s, HP, Macy’s

Domino’s Pizza shares soared last week after a big earnings beat, while ViacomCBS and Groupon shares took huge earnings hits.

This week, investors will be watching earnings reports from HP on Monday and Home Depot, Macy’s and Salesforce on Tuesday.

Of the first 364 S&P 500 companies to report earnings, 138 (38%) have mentioned the coronavirus in their conference calls, according to FactSet.

Economic numbers to watch for: GDP

On Thursday, the U.S. Census Bureau will be releasing its Nondefense Capital Goods Orders (excluding aircraft) for the month of January and the Bureau of Economic Analysis will be releasing its fourth-quarter U.S. GDP growth calculation. Last month, the Bureau’s advanced GDP growth estimate for the quarter was 2.1%.

Benzinga is a financial news and data company headquartered in Detroit.

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